UPSC CURRENT AFFAIRS – 25th March 2025
India’s Flash PMI slips to 58.6 on slower service activity
Why in News?
India’s HSBC Flash PMI for March 2025 shows a slight dip to 58.6, driven by slower growth in the service sector, while the manufacturing sector expands at a faster pace.
Introduction
- India’s HSBC Flash PMI for March 2025 has dipped slightly to 6, down from 58.8 in February, reflecting a slowdown in the service sector.
- Despite this, a reading above 50 indicates expansion in private sector activity, which has been sustained for over three years.
- The Flash PMI is based on responses from 80-90% of survey participants and serves as an early indicator of economic trends.
What is PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index)?
- The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) is an economic indicator used to measure the economic health and performance of the manufacturing and service sectors in a country.
- It is based on surveys of private sector companies, particularly purchasing managers, and reflects business sentiment regarding various factors such as production levels, new orders, inventory, employment, and supplier deliveries.
How is PMI Calculated?
PMI is calculated using responses from a survey of purchasing managers. The index is typically scored from 0 to 100, with the following interpretations:
- Above 50: Indicates expansion or growth in the sector.
- Below 50: Indicates contraction or decline.
- 50: No change, indicating stability.
The PMI is a composite index made up of several components:
- New Orders: Measures demand for products or services.
- Output: Reflects the production or service levels.
- Employment: Indicates hiring trends within the sector.
- Suppliers’ Delivery Times: Assesses whether suppliers are delivering goods faster or slower than usual.
- Stocks of Purchases: Evaluates whether companies are increasing or decreasing their inventories.
The PMI is generally weighted based on these sub-indices to reflect their relative importance in the economy.
Types of PMI
- Manufacturing PMI: Focuses on the manufacturing sector, capturing trends such as output, employment, and new orders within industries like production, factories, and construction.
- Services PMI: Tracks activity in the service sector, including industries such as finance, healthcare, retail, and hospitality.
- Composite PMI: A combination of the manufacturing and services PMI, providing a more comprehensive view of the economy.
Current Scenario
Service Sector Growth Slows
- The Flash PMI for the service sector stood at 7 in March, showing a decline from 59 in February.
- The slowdown in service sector activity can be attributed to higher prices compared to manufacturers and a slower growth rate in new business from abroad.
- Although the sector is still expanding, the pace has eased compared to earlier months.
Manufacturing Sector Expands at Faster Pace
- In contrast, the manufacturing sector saw an acceleration in growth.
- The Flash PMI for manufacturing rose to 6 in March, up from 56.3 in February, marking the highest output index level since July 2024.
- However, manufacturers faced a margin squeeze as input price inflation increased, and factory gate prices grew at their weakest rate in a year.
- Additionally, the growth in new export orders slowed, partly due to tariff announcements.
Employment Increases and Cost Pressures Persist
- Despite the challenges, hiring picked up in March 2025, particularly in the manufacturing sector, where headcount rose for the first time in seven months.
- However, operating expenses climbed across both sectors, with the service sector feeling the impact more than manufacturing.
- The report noted that, despite rising operating costs, companies faced competitive pressures, preventing them from passing on price increases to customers.
Business Confidence Remains Positive but Slips
-
- While business confidence remained strongly positive, sentiment slipped to a seven-month low in March, as fierce competition emerged as the primary concern for survey participants.
- Both manufacturers and service providers were slightly less optimistic about future output compared to February.
Conclusion
- India’s economic momentum remains solid, though the pace of expansion has moderated slightly.
- The slowdown in the service sector is counterbalanced by a robust manufacturing performance, while increasing operating costs and competitive pressures are challenges that businesses must navigate.
- The Flash PMI serves as a valuable indicator of India’s private sector growth and highlights the evolving dynamics within the economy.
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It’s the news that acknowledges that the world is a stage, and the play is a farce. — Toni @ comedywriter.info
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A good satirical headline is a perfect haiku of hypocrisy. — Toni @ Bohiney.com
A quality satirical headline makes the reader laugh, then immediately check their assumptions. — Alan @ Bohiney.com
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It’s the intellectual’s protest sign, written in the ink of wit and irony. — Toni @ Bohiney.com
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